MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 05:34:14| >> :120:32262:32262:
Shakhtar Donetsk
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 2, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Donbass Arena
Leipzig logo

Shakhtar
0 - 4
RB Leipzig


Mykhaylichenko (24'), Taylor (66'), Sikan (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nkunku (10'), Silva (50'), Szoboszlai (62'), Bondar (68' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shakhtar 2-2 Oleksandriya
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

We said: Shakhtar Donetsk 1-3 RB Leipzig

We expect Shakhtar to push their opponents all of the way in Warsaw on Wednesday, but game state could play a large part in terms of dictating which direction that the result heads in. Providing that Leipzig can avoid falling behind early on, gaps should open up as the Ukrainian Premier League runners-up push for a winner, with the likes of Timo Werner and Christopher Nkunku perfectly placed to punish them in transition should that be the case. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawRB Leipzig
27.37% (-0.026 -0.03) 27.06% (0.004999999999999 0) 45.57% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.72% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.98% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)57.02% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.09% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)77.91% (0.029000000000011 0.03)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.59% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)36.41% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.81% (-0.041 -0.04)73.2% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)24.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)59.61% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 27.37%
    RB Leipzig 45.57%
    Draw 27.06%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawRB Leipzig
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 6.44% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.64% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 2.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 27.37%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 9.09% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 12.61% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.84%
0-2 @ 8.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.09%
0-3 @ 4.05% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 45.57%

How you voted: Shakhtar vs RB Leipzig

Shakhtar Donetsk
27.6%
Draw
17.0%
RB Leipzig
55.5%
348
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2022 8pm
Group F
RB Leipzig
1-4
Shakhtar
Simakan (57')
Shved (16', 58'), Mudryk (76'), Traore (85')
Konoplya (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!