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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
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Union Berlin
2 - 2
Augsburg

Becker (7'), Behrens (22')
Khedira (12')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Niederlechner (9', 39')
Gumny (20'), Bauer (21'), Demirovic (26'), Gouweleeuw (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, November 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Augsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-2 Augsburg

 Though there is a large divide between these two teams in terms of results this year, the potential for a goal-fest is very high between Union and Augsburg. The fluid counter-attacking of Augsburg's formation, including an in-form Mergim Berisha, the rapidity of Jensen on the wings, and the intelligence of Demirovic and Niederlechner, could all help to exploit Union's aggression. Such a result for Augsburg is contingent on Union's players showing the same lethargy they did at the weekend. The fixture list has been much kinder on Augsburg, and they may prove a tough opponent for Fischer's Union. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 59.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawAugsburg
59.98% (0.081000000000003 0.08) 23.23% (0.0010000000000012 0) 16.79% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 45.46% (-0.151 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.85% (-0.118 -0.12)53.15% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28% (-0.1 -0.1)74.72% (0.104 0.1)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.6% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)17.4% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.17% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)47.82% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.04% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)44.96% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.1% (-0.137 -0.14)80.9% (0.14 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 59.97%
    Augsburg 16.79%
    Draw 23.22%
Union BerlinDrawAugsburg
1-0 @ 13.68% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 11.96% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.97% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.05% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 59.97%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.82% (0.037 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.22%
0-1 @ 6.25%
1-2 @ 4.37% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 16.79%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Augsburg

Union Berlin
79.8%
Draw
10.6%
Augsburg
9.6%
94
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 2.30pm
Augsburg
2-0
Union Berlin
Gregoritsch (16'), Hahn (59')

Khedira (42'), Voglsammer (60')
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
Union Berlin
0-0
Augsburg

Khedira (41')

Oxford (36'), Dorsch (86')
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
Augsburg
2-1
Union Berlin
Niederlechner (17', 47')
Strobl (45'), Oxford (49'), Niederlechner (55')
Ingvartsen (25')
Trimmel (67')
Sep 19, 2020 2.30pm
Union Berlin
1-3
Augsburg
Bulter (75')
Trimmel (9'), Griesbeck (62')
Vargas (41'), Gregoritsch (82'), Hahn (89')
Jan 25, 2020 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-0
Augsburg
Subotic (47'), Ingvartsen (61')
Schlotterbeck (67'), Subotic (68'), Gentner (70'), Andrich (74')

Gouweleeuw (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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