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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 52.7%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.93%) and 1-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
52.7% (![]() | 21.53% (![]() | 25.77% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.49% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.63% (![]() | 34.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.72% (![]() | 56.28% (![]() |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.71% (![]() | 13.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.88% (![]() | 40.11% (![]() |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.38% (![]() | 25.62% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.49% (![]() | 60.51% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 9.44% (![]() 2-0 @ 6.93% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.87% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.35% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.67% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.99% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 3.13% Total : 52.7% | 1-1 @ 9.36% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.43% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.96% ( ![]() Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.53% | 1-2 @ 6.37% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.38% Total : 25.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 75 | 24 | 51 | 62 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 59 | 33 | 26 | 56 |
3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 45 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 45 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 42 |
6 | Freiburg | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 42 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 40 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 38 |
9 | Augsburg | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 38 |
10 | Stuttgart | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 33 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 26 |
15 | St Pauli | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 25 |
16 | Heidenheim | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 19 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 53 | -27 | 18 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |