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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 54.54%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 22.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
54.54% ( -0.01) | 22.51% ( -0.13) | 22.95% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 57.61% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.05% ( 0.73) | 41.95% ( -0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.64% ( 0.73) | 64.35% ( -0.73) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.68% ( 0.25) | 15.32% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.93% ( 0.47) | 44.06% ( -0.47) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.04% ( 0.53) | 31.96% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.58% ( 0.6) | 68.41% ( -0.6) |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 54.54% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.5% | 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 22.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 9 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
4 | Heidenheim | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
5 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
7 | Freiburg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
9 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
11 | Stuttgart | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 |
12 | Augsburg | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
17 | St Pauli | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 0 |
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