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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Nov 11, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Borussia-Park
Dortmund logo

Borussia M'bach
4 - 2
Dortmund

Hofmann (4'), Bensebaini (26'), Thuram (30'), Kone (46')
Stindl (9')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Brandt (19'), Schlotterbeck (40')
Hummels (25'), Guerreiro (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Gladbach appear to be struggling from a lack of belief at present, and we expect Dortmund to punish them on Friday night. BVB's defeat to Wolfsburg was disappointing but no disgrace given Kovac's side's form of late, and they will be determined to ensure that their gap behind Bayern does not grow during the final weekend of action prior to the World Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.17%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.51%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBorussia Dortmund
25.99% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 20.83% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 53.17% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 67.41% (0.070000000000007 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.33% (0.076999999999998 0.08)30.66% (-0.084999999999997 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.01% (0.092000000000006 0.09)51.98% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.51% (0.063000000000002 0.06)23.48% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.49% (0.094999999999999 0.09)57.5% (-0.104 -0.1)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.1% (0.012 0.01)11.89% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.78% (0.038000000000004 0.04)37.21% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 25.99%
    Borussia Dortmund 53.17%
    Draw 20.83%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 4.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 25.99%
1-1 @ 8.62% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.79% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.28% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 20.83%
1-2 @ 9.17% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.95% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.72% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 2.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.39% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.07% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 53.17%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Dortmund

Borussia Monchengladbach
20.6%
Draw
12.5%
Borussia Dortmund
66.9%
160
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 4.30pm
Dortmund
6-0
Borussia M'bach
Reus (26', 82'), Malen (32'), Wolf (70'), Moukoko (74'), Can (90+1' pen.)
Zagadou (12'), Dahoud (35')

Bensebaini (14')
Sep 25, 2021 5.30pm
Borussia M'bach
1-0
Dortmund
Zakaria (37')
Zakaria (13'), Stindl (33'), Netz (45+2'), Kone (59')

Dahoud (10'), Pongracic (35'), Bellingham (85')
Dahoud (40')
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Borussia M'bach
0-1
Dortmund

Stindl (32'), Bensebaini (90+2')
Sancho (66')
Dahoud (29'), Reus (50'), Hitz (90+5')
Dahoud (90+2')
Jan 22, 2021 7.30pm
Sep 19, 2020 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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