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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Stuttgart

Dortmund
5 - 0
Stuttgart

Bellingham (2', 53'), Sule (13'), Reyna (44'), Moukoko (72')
Ozcan (45+1')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Hannover 0-2 Dortmund
Wednesday, October 19 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Stuttgart

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 6-0 Arminia Bielefeld
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Stuttgart

 We expect Dortmund to return to winning ways on Saturday, but the three points are unlikely to come easily against a rejuvenated Stuttgart side. The visitors have scored 10 goals in two games since sacking Matarazzo, although they have not faced an opponent anywhere near the calibre of BVB even taking into account the hosts' recent drop off. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 15.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawStuttgart
65.92% (-0.0039999999999907 -0) 18.74% (0.0019999999999989 0) 15.34% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Both teams to score 56.84% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.6% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)36.4% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.46% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)58.54% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.7%10.3% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)33.71% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)36.64% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.58% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)73.43% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 65.92%
    Stuttgart 15.34%
    Draw 18.74%
Borussia DortmundDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.58% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 7.42%
3-0 @ 7.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 4.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 4.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.72%
4-2 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.92% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.91% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 65.92%
1-1 @ 8.61% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.74%
1-2 @ 4.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 3.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.65%
1-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 15.34%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Stuttgart

Borussia Dortmund
81.9%
Draw
6.7%
Stuttgart
11.4%
105
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2022 7.30pm
Stuttgart
0-2
Dortmund

Mangala (45+3'), Karazor (86')
Brandt (12', 71')
Bellingham (82')
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-1
Stuttgart
Malen (56'), Reus (85')
Massimo (63')
Coulibaly (35'), Anton (48')
Apr 10, 2021 5.30pm
Stuttgart
2-3
Dortmund
Kalajdzic (17'), Didavi (78')
Sosa (21'), Forster (28'), Kempf (50'), Anton (82')
Bellingham (47'), Reus (52'), Knauff (80')
Hummels (31'), Hitz (90+2')
Dec 12, 2020 2.30pm
Dortmund
1-5
Stuttgart
Reyna (39')
Can (26'), Morey (66')
Wamangituka (26' pen., 53'), Forster (60'), Coulibaly (63'), Gonzalez (90+1')
Mavropanos (28'), Endo (40'), Wamangituka (50')
Mar 9, 2019 2.30pm
Dortmund
3-1
Stuttgart
Reus (62' pen.), Alcacer (84'), Pulisic (90')
Reus (69'), Wolf (70'), Witsel (86')
Kempf (71')
Zuber (57'), Insua (68'), Ascacibar (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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