Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 12

Oct 29, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Commerzbank-Arena

Frankfurt
1 - 2
Dortmund

Kamada (26')
Pellegrini (16'), Lindstrom (60'), Rode (90+3'), Tuta (90+5'), Trapp (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Brandt (21'), Bellingham (52')
Ozcan (66'), Can (70'), Hummels (81'), Reyna (90+5'), Bellingham (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Frankfurt 2-1 Marseille
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 0-0 Man City
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 Borussia Dortmund

The Bundesliga's Saturday night game should be a highly absorbing affair this weekend, with both teams playing an attractive style of football in recent weeks. In truth, with Frankfurt benefitting from home advantage, it is difficult to split them from Dortmund, so we can envisage a score draw at Deutsch Bank Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
31.19% ( -0.22)	24.8% ( 0.03)	44.01% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 56.99% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.98% (

-0.21)

46.02% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.67% (

-0.2)

68.33% (

0.2)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.11% (

-0.25)

27.89% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.49% (

-0.32)

63.5% (

0.32)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.03% (

20.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.27% (

53.73% (

Score Analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt 31.19%

Borussia Dortmund 44.01%

Draw 24.79%

Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 31.19%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.79%	0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 44.01%