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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
VfL Bochum

Dortmund
3 - 0
VfL Bochum

Moukoko (8', 45+2'), Reyna (12' pen.)
Ozcan (79')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Gamboa (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Copenhagen 1-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, November 2 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 4-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-0 VfL Bochum

We expect Dortmund to have far too much quality for Bochum, who have failed to register a single point on the road this season. Having conceded four goals in each of their last three away matches, the visitors may be content with keeping the scoreline as low as possible, while Terzic will be satisfied with any victory given his side's fixture pile-up. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 68.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 14.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 3-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawVfL Bochum
68.84% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14) 17.09% (0.041 0.04) 14.07% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 59.84% (0.11 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.93% (0.016000000000005 0.02)31.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.53% (0.021000000000001 0.02)52.47% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.79% (-0.023999999999987 -0.02)8.21% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.27% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)28.72% (0.061 0.06)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.19% (0.13799999999999 0.14)34.8% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.46% (0.144 0.14)71.54% (-0.143 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 68.84%
    VfL Bochum 14.07%
    Draw 17.09%
Borussia DortmundDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 8.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.44% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.65% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.59% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 2.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.3%
6-1 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
6-0 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 68.84%
1-1 @ 7.54% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17.09%
1-2 @ 3.98% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.01% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.59% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 14.07%

How you voted: Dortmund vs VfL Bochum

Borussia Dortmund
91.9%
Draw
4.0%
VfL Bochum
4.0%
99
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
Dortmund
3-4
VfL Bochum
Braut Haaland (18' pen., 30' pen., 62')
Bellingham (24'), Brandt (54'), Rothe (89'), Papadopoulos (90+3')
Polter (3'), Holtmann (8'), Locadia (81'), Pantovic (85' pen.)
Losilla (31'), Masovic (35'), Zoller (90+2')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
VfL Bochum
1-1
Dortmund
Polter (40' pen.)
Brandt (85')
Schulz (57'), Hummels (58'), Zagadou (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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5pm
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Group Stage
Spain
vs.
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Saturday, June 29
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

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1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

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2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

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1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

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1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

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1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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