MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:19:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Nov 8, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
 
Dortmund logo

Wolfsburg
2 - 0
Dortmund

van de Ven (6'), Nmecha (90+2')
Nmecha (45+1'), Marmoush (54'), Otavio (63'), Nmecha (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hummels (84'), Modeste (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 0-3 Wolfsburg
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

We expect a closely fought affair between two in-form teams in Lower Saxony on Tuesday. Wolfsburg have been in great goalscoring form of late and should be able to continue that against Dortmund, but we expect the visitors to edge it in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
WolfsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
27.57% (-0.296 -0.3) 22.35% (-0.113 -0.11) 50.08% (0.413 0.41)
Both teams to score 63.21% (0.162 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.22% (0.31999999999999 0.32)36.78% (-0.316 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.06% (0.347 0.35)58.95% (-0.343 -0.34)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.36% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)25.64% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)60.53% (0.052 0.05)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.01% (0.26000000000001 0.26)14.99% (-0.257 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.56% (0.487 0.49)43.44% (-0.483 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 27.57%
    Borussia Dortmund 50.08%
    Draw 22.35%
WolfsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.76% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.23% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-0 @ 3.56% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.62% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 27.57%
1-1 @ 9.93% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.84% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.84% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.29% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.92% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.96% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.38% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 4.06% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.83% (0.054 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.08% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.92% (0.035 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.07% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 50.08%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Dortmund

Wolfsburg
18.9%
Draw
12.3%
Borussia Dortmund
68.9%
302
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
Dortmund
6-1
Wolfsburg
Rothe (24'), Witsel (26'), Akanji (28'), Can (35'), Braut Haaland (38', 54')
Baku (81')
Baku (33'), Gerhardt (41')
Nov 27, 2021 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
1-3
Dortmund
Weghorst (2')
Lukebakio (25'), Lacroix (32'), Nmecha (37'), Arnold (42')
Can (35' pen.), Malen (55'), Braut Haaland (81')
Wolf (60')
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 3, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-0
Wolfsburg
Akanji (66'), Sancho (90+1')
Hummels (25'), Delaney (40'), Braut Haaland (80')

Steffen (38')
May 23, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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