Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 14

Nov 8, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Wolfsburg
2 - 0
Dortmund

van de Ven (6'), Nmecha (90+2')
Nmecha (45+1'), Marmoush (54'), Otavio (63'), Nmecha (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hummels (84'), Modeste (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 0-3 Wolfsburg
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 3-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Wolfsburg 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

We expect a closely fought affair between two in-form teams in Lower Saxony on Tuesday. Wolfsburg have been in great goalscoring form of late and should be able to continue that against Dortmund, but we expect the visitors to edge it in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
27.57% ( -0.3)	22.35% ( -0.11)	50.08% ( 0.41)

Both teams to score 63.21% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.22% (

0.32)

36.78% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.06% (

0.35)

58.95% (

-0.34)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.36% (

-0.03)

25.64% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.47% (

-0.05)

60.53% (

0.05)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.01% (

0.26)

14.99% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.56% (

0.49)

43.44% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 27.57%

Borussia Dortmund 50.08%

Draw 22.35%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 27.57%	1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.35%	1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.96% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.83% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.15% Total : 50.08%