Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 15

Nov 12, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 0
Stuttgart

Diaby (30'), Tah (82')
Amiri (69'), Hlozek (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Zagadou (39'), Fuhrich (61'), Tomas (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Stuttgart

There is little doubt that Leverkusen possess the attacking firepower to hurt Stuttgart, who are still awaiting their first league win on the road this season. As such, we can envisage Alonso's side racking up a third straight victory in the Bundesliga to potentially put serious distance between themselves and the bottom three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 14.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Stuttgart
66.4% ( 1.65)	18.97% ( -0.53)	14.62% ( -1.13)

Both teams to score 54.07% (

-0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.9% (

0.1)

39.1% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.57% (

0.11)

61.42% (

-0.11)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.06% (

0.46)

10.93% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.86% (

1.01)

35.13% (

-1.02)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.7% (

-1.41)

39.29% (

1.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24% (

-1.34)

75.99% (

1.34)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 66.4%

Stuttgart 14.62%

Draw 18.97%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Stuttgart
2-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.29) 4-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.09) Other @ 4.28% Total : 66.4%	1-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.97%	1-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.86% Total : 14.62%