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Europa League
Monaco
Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 23, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Louis II
Leverkusen logo

Monaco
2 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Ben Yedder (19' pen.), Embolo (84')
Fofana (41'), Henrique (119'), Jakobs (120')
FT
(aet)
Wirtz (13'), Palacios (21'), Adli (58')
Andrich (65'), Palacios (99')
B. Leverkusen win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Monaco and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Brest 1-2 Monaco
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-3 Mainz
Sunday, February 19 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

We say: Monaco 2-1 Bayer Leverkusen

 Monaco could be exposed out wide with their top two right-backs, Vanderson and Aguilar, injured, but they can make up for their defensive frailties with plenty of quality in the attacking third. Losing Diaby is a massive blow for Alonso ahead of this match as his side rely heavily on the Frenchman for goals, while defensively this group have been exposed often, conceding six times in their last two games in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%).

Result
MonacoDrawBayer Leverkusen
50.68% (0.099999999999994 0.1) 23.4% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04) 25.93% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.96% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.96% (0.109 0.11)43.05% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.56% (0.108 0.11)65.45% (-0.105 -0.11)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.92% (0.076000000000008 0.08)17.08% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.74% (0.134 0.13)47.26% (-0.131 -0.13)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)30.11% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (0.011000000000003 0.01)66.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 50.68%
    Bayer Leverkusen 25.93%
    Draw 23.39%
MonacoDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.09% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.73% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.09% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 50.68%
1-1 @ 10.9% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 6.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 25.93%

How you voted: Monaco vs B. Leverkusen

Monaco
74.4%
Draw
14.4%
Bayer Leverkusen
11.2%
285
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2023 8pm
Knockout Round Playoffs
B. Leverkusen
2-3
Monaco
Diaby (48'), Wirtz (59')
Tapsoba (14'), Wirtz (50'), Adli (63')
Hradecky (9' og.), Diatta (74'), Disasi (90+2')
Camara (63'), Maripan (84'), Diatta (90+7')
Dec 7, 2016 7.45pm
Group E
B. Leverkusen
3-0
Monaco
Yurchenko (30'), Brandt (49'), De Sanctis (83' og.)
Dragovic (88')

Jemerson (24'), Boschilia (41'), Germain (88')
Sep 27, 2016 7.45pm
Group E
Monaco
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Glik (94')
Jemerson (50')
Hernandez (73')
Tah (19'), Toprak (50')
Nov 26, 2014 7.45pm
Group C
B. Leverkusen
0-1
Monaco
> Match Report
Sep 16, 2014 7.45pm
Group C
Monaco
1-0
B. Leverkusen
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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