MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 06:16:09| >> :120:37706:37706:
Monaco
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Louis II
Red Star Belgrade

Monaco
4 - 1
Red Star

Volland (5', 27', 87'), Rodic (50' og.)
Badiashile (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kanga (54' pen.)
Rodic (23'), Katai (38'), Srnic (62'), Kanga (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Monaco and Red Star Belgrade, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Red Star 2-1 Trabzonspor
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Monaco 1-0 Red Star Belgrade

It might not be pretty, but Monaco always seem to find a way to make it beyond the group stage of these competitions, allowing a goal or fewer in their previous six matches played at Stade Louis II. The Serbs have played well and perhaps deserved better at times in the group stage, but they have not been as creative or attack-minded in Europe as they are domestically. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 15.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Red Star Belgrade win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawRed Star Belgrade
60.68% (0.064999999999998 0.06) 23.71% (-0.044 -0.04) 15.61% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 41.88% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.32% (0.11499999999999 0.11)56.67% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.36% (0.091000000000001 0.09)77.64% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (0.066000000000003 0.07)18.43% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.4% (0.11300000000001 0.11)49.6% (-0.115 -0.12)
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.34% (0.036999999999999 0.04)48.66% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.29% (0.027000000000001 0.03)83.71% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 60.67%
    Red Star Belgrade 15.61%
    Draw 23.7%
MonacoDrawRed Star Belgrade
1-0 @ 15.16% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 12.82%
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.23% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.21% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.06% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.2% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 60.67%
1-1 @ 10.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.97% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.33% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 23.7%
0-1 @ 6.46% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 15.61%

How you voted: Monaco vs Red Star

Monaco
80.8%
Draw
8.2%
Red Star Belgrade
11.0%
182
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2022 8pm
Group H
Red Star
0-1
Monaco

Dragovic (7')
Embolo (74' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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