Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-3 Lille
Friday, October 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Friday, October 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
We said: Lille 1-1 Monaco
Monaco would be foolish not to take full advantage of Andre and Fonte's absences this weekend, as losing two integral cogs of Fonseca's well-oiled machine certainly spells danger for the hosts. An in-form David is more than capable of troubling the Monaco backline on his own, but Clement's side have been an incredibly tough nut to crack on the road, and we expect the two managers to shake hands on a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 43%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Monaco |
43% ( -0.39) | 25.28% ( 0.19) | 31.71% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
