Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 2, 2022 at 12pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Lorient2 - 1Lille
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Auxerre 1-3 Lorient
Friday, September 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Friday, September 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Toulouse
Saturday, September 17 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, September 17 at 8pm in Ligue 1
We said: Lorient 3-2 Lille
With the form that Lorient are in and with Lille's defensive vulnerability, it is hard to see anything but a Lorient win. Lille will be expected to score a few goals with the quality of Jonathan David leading their attack, but we are backing the hosts to come out on top. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Lille |
27.38% ( -0.02) | 25.78% ( -0.05) | 46.84% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.49% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.86% ( 0.17) | 52.13% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.15% ( 0.15) | 73.85% ( -0.14) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.23% ( 0.07) | 33.77% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.56% ( 0.08) | 70.43% ( -0.08) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( 0.1) | 22.25% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.31% ( 0.15) | 55.69% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
Lorient 27.39%
Lille 46.84%
Draw 25.77%
| Lorient | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.65% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.41% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 27.39% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.49% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 46.84% |
How you voted: Lorient vs Lille
Lorient
59.0%Draw
18.0%Lille
23.0%61
