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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Sep 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lille

Marseille
2 - 1
Lille

Sanchez (26'), Gigot (61')
Balerdi (14'), Tudor (41'), Gueye (50'), Gigot (57'), Toure (68'), Tavares (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ismaily (12')
Djalo (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 2-0 Marseille
Wednesday, September 7 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Marseille 2-2 Lille

A closely-fought contest between two evenly-matched teams is set to take place on Saturday, with both sides feeling that they have the credentials to come away with maximum points. While goals are to be expected at the Stade Velodrome, an entertaining score draw could be on the cards on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Lille had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawLille
45.55% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.9% (0.0010000000000012 0) 29.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.76% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.77% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)47.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.54% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)69.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)20.79% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)53.44% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)29.61% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.36% (-0.012 -0.01)65.65% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 45.55%
    Lille 29.55%
    Draw 24.89%
MarseilleDrawLille
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.84%
3-0 @ 3.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.9%
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 45.55%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 6.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 7.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 29.55%

How you voted: Marseille vs Lille

Marseille
65.3%
Draw
25.5%
Lille
9.2%
98
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
Marseille
1-1
Lille
Under (75')
Guendouzi (4')
Botman (15')
Andre (30'), Grbic (55'), Celik (55'), Lihadji (86')
Andre (32')
Oct 3, 2021 4pm
Lille
2-0
Marseille
David (28', 90+4')
Mandava (11'), Yilmaz (66')

Under (24'), Balerdi (37')
Under (77')
Mar 3, 2021 8pm
Sep 20, 2020 8pm
Marseille
1-1
Lille
Germain (85')
Nagatomo (21'), Thauvin (58'), Gonzalez (65')
Araujo (47')
Andre (50'), Bradaric (58'), Sanches (80')
Feb 16, 2020 8pm
Lille
1-2
Marseille
Osimhen (51')
Mandava (66' og.), Benedetto (69')
Caleta-Car (9'), Amavi (30'), Benedetto (35'), Strootman (90'), Ake (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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