Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6

Sep 4, 2022 at 12pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
1 - 3
Lille

Wahi (20')
Germain (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

David (41', 90+4'), Gomes (57')
Djalo (16'), Ounas (80'), Gomes (86'), David (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

Last Six:

Last Game: Montpellier 2-0 Ajaccio
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Lens	5	8	13
5	Montpellier HSC	5	6	9
6	Rennes	5	1	7

Lille

Last Six:

Last Game: Lille 1-2 Nice
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Lorient	4	-1	7
8	Lille	5	-2	7
9	Auxerre	6	-4	7

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-2 Lille

Lille have performed better on the road so far this season, and we can envisage that continuing on Sunday. Montpellier have had a kind fixture list in recent weeks, with the visitors clearly possessing greater quality on paper as well as far fewer injury and suspension concerns. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lille
32.67% ( -0.31)	26.49% ( -0.22)	40.84% ( 0.53)

Both teams to score 51.98% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.23% (

0.81)

52.77% (

-0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.6% (

0.69)

74.4% (

-0.69)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.73% (

0.2)

30.27% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.55% (

0.24)

66.44% (

-0.24)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.55% (

0.65)

25.45% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.72% (

0.88)

60.28% (

-0.88)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 32.67%

Lille 40.83%

Draw 26.48%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.2% Total : 32.67%	1-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.48%	0-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.42% Total : 40.83%