Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lille |
27.35% | 24.92% | 47.73% |
Both teams to score 54.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.36% | 48.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.24% | 70.76% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.04% | 31.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.58% | 68.42% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.58% | 20.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.14% | 52.85% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 7.44% 2-1 @ 6.75% 2-0 @ 4.25% 3-1 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 2.04% 3-0 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.7% Total : 27.35% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 10.36% 1-2 @ 9.4% 0-2 @ 8.24% 1-3 @ 4.98% 0-3 @ 4.36% 2-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.98% 0-4 @ 1.73% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | Marseille | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 13 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Lens | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
5 | NantesNantes | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
6 | Reims | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
7 | Nice | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
8 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Lille | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 6 |
11 | Le HavreLe Havre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
15 | Lyon | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 3 |
18 | Angers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |