Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 15.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
