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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 3, 2021 at 4pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Marseille

Lille
2 - 0
Marseille

David (28', 90+4')
Mandava (11'), Yilmaz (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Under (24'), Balerdi (37')
Under (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawMarseille
41.99%28.1%29.91%
Both teams to score 46.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.39%59.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.06%79.94%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.98%28.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.34%63.66%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.2%35.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.43%72.57%
Score Analysis
    Lille 41.98%
    Marseille 29.91%
    Draw 28.08%
LilleDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 12.75%
2-1 @ 8.34%
2-0 @ 8.12%
3-1 @ 3.54%
3-0 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 1.82%
4-1 @ 1.13%
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 41.98%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 10.02%
2-2 @ 4.29%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.08%
0-1 @ 10.3%
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.81%
2-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2%
Total : 29.91%

How you voted: Lille vs Marseille

Lille
36.2%
Draw
34.8%
Marseille
29.0%
69
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 28
Lille
2-0
Marseille
David (90', 90+2')
Sep 20, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 4
Marseille
1-1
Lille
Germain (85')
Nagatomo (21'), Thauvin (58'), Gonzalez (65')
Araujo (47')
Andre (50'), Bradaric (58'), Sanches (80')
Feb 16, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 25
Lille
1-2
Marseille
Osimhen (51')
Mandava (66' og.), Benedetto (69')
Caleta-Car (9'), Amavi (30'), Benedetto (35'), Strootman (90'), Ake (90')
Nov 2, 2019 4.30pm
Gameweek 12
Marseille
2-1
Lille
Sanson (47'), Gabriel (79' og.)
Amavi (83')
Soumaoro (83')
Djalo (23'), Ikone (33'), Osimhen (83')
Jan 25, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Marseille
1-2
Lille
Balotelli (90')
Kamara (18'), Gustavo (45'), Strootman (45'), Radonjic (73'), Rolando (90')
Thauvin (67')
Pepe (45' pen., 90')
Soumaoro (50'), Leao (66'), Xeka (70')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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