Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8

Sep 17, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Lille-Metropole

Lille
2 - 1
Toulouse

David (5'), Ounas (53')
Fonte (44'), Diakite (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Chaibi (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

Last Six:

Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Lille
Saturday, September 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Monaco	7	-2	11
8	Lille	7	-1	10
9	Clermont	7	-2	10

Toulouse

Last Six:

Last Game: Toulouse 1-0 Reims
Sunday, September 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Montpellier HSC	7	3	9
11	Toulouse	7	-3	8
12	Nice	7	-3	8

Two sides with contrasting thoughts as to how their seasons have started, Toulouse will travel to Lille confident of snatching a result. History suggests that it will be a challenge for the visitors, but given Lille's wretched form, do not bet against Toulouse snatching a point this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Toulouse
46.35% ( 0.63)	24.81% ( 0.72)	28.85% ( -1.35)

Both teams to score 55.6% (

-3.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.77% (

-3.95)

47.23% (

3.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.54% (

-3.78)

69.46% (

3.78)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.56% (

-1.33)

20.44% (

1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.11% (

-2.15)

52.89% (

2.15)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.89% (

-2.93)

30.11% (

2.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.75% (

-3.66)

66.25% (

3.65)

Score Analysis

Lille 46.35%

Toulouse 28.85%

Draw 24.8%

Lille	Draw	Toulouse
1-0 @ 9.77% ( 1.17) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.64) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.37) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.76% Total : 46.35%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.53) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.96) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.45) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.8%	0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.62) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.38) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.16% Total : 28.85%