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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Toulouse

Lille
2 - 1
Toulouse

David (5'), Ounas (53')
Fonte (44'), Diakite (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Chaibi (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Lille
Saturday, September 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 1-1 Toulouse

Two sides with contrasting thoughts as to how their seasons have started, Toulouse will travel to Lille confident of snatching a result. History suggests that it will be a challenge for the visitors, but given Lille's wretched form, do not bet against Toulouse snatching a point this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawToulouse
46.35% (0.628 0.63) 24.81% (0.718 0.72) 28.85% (-1.347 -1.35)
Both teams to score 55.6% (-3.294 -3.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.77% (-3.948 -3.95)47.23% (3.948 3.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.54% (-3.778 -3.78)69.46% (3.778 3.78)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.56% (-1.326 -1.33)20.44% (1.326 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.11% (-2.15 -2.15)52.89% (2.15 2.15)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (-2.926 -2.93)30.11% (2.926 2.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (-3.655 -3.66)66.25% (3.655 3.65)
Score Analysis
    Lille 46.35%
    Toulouse 28.85%
    Draw 24.8%
LilleDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 9.77% (1.173 1.17)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.76% (0.643 0.64)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.181 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.372 -0.37)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.203 -0.2)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 46.35%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.53 0.53)
0-0 @ 6.15% (0.958 0.96)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.446 -0.45)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.262 -0.26)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.619 0.62)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.255 -0.26)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.384 -0.38)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 28.85%

How you voted: Lille vs Toulouse

Lille
81.9%
Draw
16.7%
Toulouse
1.4%
72
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2020 7pm
Lille
3-0
Toulouse
Remy (2', 39'), Sanches (72')
Osimhen (40')

Leya Iseka (24'), Sangare (89'), Vainqueur (90')
Oct 19, 2019 7pm
Toulouse
2-1
Lille
Sanogo (58'), Gradel (66' pen.)
Said (14'), Sanogo (40')
Fonte (93')
Xeka (71'), Araujo (73'), Pied (81'), Fonte (90')
Apr 21, 2019 2pm
Toulouse
0-0
Lille

Sidibe (23'), Gradel (41')

Celik (17'), Soumare (53'), Mendes (85')
Dec 22, 2018 8pm
Lille
1-2
Toulouse
Leao (17')
Mendes (45'), Dabila (62'), Maia (66')
Gradel (50' pen., 64')
Moubandje (38'), Durmaz (44'), Amian (70'), Sidibe (88')
May 6, 2018 4pm
Toulouse
2-3
Lille
Jean (9'), Jullien (44')
Yago (73'), Diop (78'), Moubandje (85')
Moubandje (90')
Pepe (5', 82'), Bissouma (80')
Bissouma (23'), Pepe (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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