Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11

Oct 14, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade de la Meinau

Strasbourg
0 - 3
Lille

Le Marchand (19'), Prcic (22'), Nyamsi (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

David (41' pen., 76'), Cabella (80')
Andre (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Angers 2-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lille

All competitions

Last Game: Lille 1-0 Lens
Sunday, October 9 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Without the towering presence of Ajorque, Strasbourg do not look nearly as intimidating in the attack, but they have fared well defensively at times this year, conceding a goal or fewer in three home fixtures. Les Dogues are putting a lot on the shoulders of Jonathan David at the moment, and the Canadian has delivered, but we expect him to get more attention than any Lille player in this encounter, so his scoring chances could diminish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Strasbourg	Draw	Lille
31.04% ( 0.15)	26.14% ( -0.05)	42.82% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 52.5% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.17% (

0.27)

51.83% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.41% (

0.23)

73.59% (

-0.23)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.1% (

0.23)

30.9% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.8% (

0.28)

67.19% (

-0.27)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.98% (

0.07)

24.02% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.72% (

0.1)

58.28% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Strasbourg 31.04%

Lille 42.81%

Draw 26.14%

Strasbourg	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 31.04%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.14%	0-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 42.81%