Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Lens had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Lens |
36.83% ( 0) | 27.01% ( 0) | 36.16% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 50.89% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.6% ( -0) | 54.4% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.23% ( -0) | 75.77% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.54% ( -0) | 28.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.77% ( -0) | 64.23% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.14% ( -0) | 28.86% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.27% ( -0) | 64.72% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 3.38% 3-0 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.71% Total : 36.82% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.96% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 7.97% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 3.3% 0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |