Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Marseille | 6 | 10 | 16 |
3 | Lens | 6 | 8 | 14 |
4 | Lyon | 6 | 8 | 13 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Monaco | 6 | -3 | 8 |
11 | Troyes | 6 | -3 | 7 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | -4 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 64.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 15.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Troyes |
64.72% ( 0.18) | 20.22% ( -0.09) | 15.06% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 50.88% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.13% ( 0.2) | 43.87% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.74% ( 0.2) | 66.25% ( -0.19) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.2% ( 0.11) | 12.8% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.89% ( 0.23) | 39.11% ( -0.23) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.34% ( 0) | 41.65% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.86% | 78.13% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Troyes |
2-0 @ 11.26% 1-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.16% Total : 64.71% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.22% | 0-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 15.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
7 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |