MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 21:25:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Troyes

Lens
1 - 0
Troyes

Danso (39')
Poreba (40'), Cabot (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tardieu (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 1-1 Lens
Sunday, September 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, September 4 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 1-0 Troyes

Troyes will aim to frustrate Lens, who may have to remain patient in order to gain a narrow victory. With Lens continuing on an upwards trajectory under Haise, more sides are likely to defend deeper against them, which is something that they must learn to overcome if they wish to remain towards the top of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 64.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 15.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
LensDrawTroyes
64.72% (0.179 0.18) 20.22% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09) 15.06% (-0.089 -0.09)
Both teams to score 50.88% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13% (0.2 0.2)43.87% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74% (0.196 0.2)66.25% (-0.193 -0.19)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.2% (0.113 0.11)12.8% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.89% (0.229 0.23)39.11% (-0.226 -0.23)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.34% (0.0010000000000048 0)41.65% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.86%78.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Lens 64.71%
    Troyes 15.06%
    Draw 20.22%
LensDrawTroyes
2-0 @ 11.26%
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 7.72% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.76% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.97% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.48% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.63% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 64.71%
1-1 @ 9.6% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 20.22%
0-1 @ 4.67% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.2% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 15.06%

How you voted: Lens vs Troyes

Lens
82.7%
Draw
13.5%
Troyes
3.8%
104
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 8pm
Troyes
1-3
Lens
Biancone (14')
Kabore (9')
Danso (42'), Kalimuendo (45'), Clauss (71')
Medina (19'), Frankowski (78')
Nov 5, 2021 8pm
Lens
4-0
Troyes
Kalimuendo (14'), Said (30'), Clauss (35'), Frankowski (60')
Ganago (69')

Batlles (15'), Rodrigues (74')
Feb 4, 2020 8.05pm
Lens
1-0
Troyes
Jean (65')
Haidara (48'), Michelin (90')

Kouame (19'), El Hajjam (45')
Kouame (36')
Aug 24, 2019 2pm
Troyes
2-0
Lens
Kouyate (45'), Pintor (83')
Souare (16'), Giraudon (18'), Tardieu (61'), Pintor (93')

Sotoca (46')
Aug 13, 2019 8.05pm
Troyes
1-2
Lens
Kouyate (10')
Salmier (34'), Mambo (74'), Giraudon (77'), Kouyate (89')
Sene (75'), Banza (84')
Perez (31'), Teka (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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