MX23RW : Wednesday, June 26 03:57:56| >> :60:2870:2870:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Poland national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 16, 2024 at 2pm UK
Volksparkstadion
Netherlands national football team

Poland
1 - 2
Netherlands

Buksa (16')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gakpo (29'), Weghorst (83')
Veerman (15')

The Match

Match Report

Wout Weghorst scores a late winner as Netherlands record a 2-1 win over Poland at the Volksparkstadion at Euro 2024.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro 2024 clash between Poland and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Poland could line up for Sunday's Euro 2024 clash with the Netherlands.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions
Last Game: Poland 2-1 Turkey
Monday, June 10 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Netherlands

All competitions
Last Game: Netherlands 4-0 Iceland
Monday, June 10 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Poland had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Poland win was 1-0 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
PolandDrawNetherlands
27.34% (-0.113 -0.11) 24.97% (0.084999999999997 0.08) 47.68% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.99% (-0.368 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.14% (-0.441 -0.44)48.85% (0.435 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.05% (-0.402 -0.4)70.94% (0.396 0.4)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93% (-0.318 -0.32)32.07% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.46% (-0.361 -0.36)68.54% (0.355 0.36)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (-0.17 -0.17)20.52% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.98% (-0.267 -0.27)53.02% (0.26 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Poland 27.34%
    Netherlands 47.68%
    Draw 24.96%
PolandDrawNetherlands
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.069 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.74% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.56% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 27.34%
1-1 @ 11.85% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.116 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 10.42% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.39% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.25% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.96% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.36% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.73% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 47.68%

How you voted: Poland vs Netherlands

Poland
18.2%
Draw
11.4%
Netherlands
70.4%
604
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2022 7.45pm
League A
Poland
0-2
Netherlands
Gakpo (13'), Bergwijn (60')
> Preview
Jun 11, 2022 7.45pm
League A
Netherlands
2-2
Poland
Klaassen (51'), Dumfries (54')
Berghuis (59'), Bergwijn (63'), de Jong (86')
Cash (18'), Zielinski (49')
Krychowiak (16'), Bednarek (20'), Skorupski (63'), Zielinski (83'), Zurkowski (86')
> Preview
Nov 18, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Poland
1-2
Netherlands
Jozwiak (6')
Krychowiak (14'), Bednarek (77'), Jozwiak (82')
Depay (77' pen.), Wijnaldum (84')
> Preview
Sep 4, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Netherlands
1-0
Poland
Bergwijn (61')
de Roon (71'), Depay (74'), de Jong (89')

Piatek (21'), Klich (33'), Jozwiak (56'), Glik (63'), Bednarek (90+1')
> Preview
Jun 1, 2016 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Poland
1-2
Netherlands
Jedrzejczyk (60')
Lewandowksi (63')
Janssen (33'), Wijnaldum (76')
Wijnaldum (63')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
> Preview
 
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
> Preview
 
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
> Preview
 
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
> Preview
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
 
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
 
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
 
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
 
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 1
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 2
Wednesday, July 10
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 3
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 4
Sunday, July 14
 
8pm
Final
Winner SF1
vs.
Winner SF2
> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111
> European Championship 2024 overview


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