European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 16, 2024 at 2pm UK
Volksparkstadion
Poland1 - 2Netherlands
The Match
Match Report
Wout Weghorst scores a late winner as Netherlands record a 2-1 win over Poland at the Volksparkstadion at Euro 2024.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro 2024 clash between Poland and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Poland could line up for Sunday's Euro 2024 clash with the Netherlands.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Poland 2-1 Turkey
Monday, June 10 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Monday, June 10 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Netherlands 4-0 Iceland
Monday, June 10 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Monday, June 10 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Poland had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Poland win was 1-0 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Poland | Draw | Netherlands |
27.34% ( -0.11) | 24.97% ( 0.08) | 47.68% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.99% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.14% ( -0.44) | 48.85% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.05% ( -0.4) | 70.94% ( 0.4) |
| Poland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% ( -0.32) | 32.07% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.46% ( -0.36) | 68.54% ( 0.36) |
| Netherlands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.47% ( -0.17) | 20.52% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.98% ( -0.27) | 53.02% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
Poland 27.34%
Netherlands 47.68%
Draw 24.96%
| Poland | Draw | Netherlands |
| 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.26% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 27.34% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.73% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 47.68% |
How you voted: Poland vs Netherlands
Poland
18.2%Draw
11.4%Netherlands
70.4%604
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2022 7.45pm
Nov 18, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Poland
1-2
Netherlands
Jun 1, 2016 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Poland
1-2
Netherlands
Form Guide
Build-up
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