MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:47:58| >> :120:67710:67710:
Netherlands national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 4, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Poland national football team

Netherlands
1 - 0
Poland

Bergwijn (61')
de Roon (71'), Depay (74'), de Jong (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Piatek (21'), Klich (33'), Jozwiak (56'), Glik (63'), Bednarek (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's UEFA Nations League clash between the Netherlands and Poland, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Poland had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Netherlands in this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawPoland
51%25.6%23.4%
Both teams to score 48.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64%54.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26%75.74%
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65%21.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69%54.31%
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.57%38.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.82%75.18%
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 51%
    Poland 23.4%
    Draw 25.59%
NetherlandsDrawPoland
1-0 @ 12.66%
2-0 @ 9.78%
2-1 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 5.04%
3-1 @ 4.82%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-0 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 51%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 8.2%
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 7.85%
1-2 @ 5.79%
0-2 @ 3.75%
1-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.43%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 23.4%

Head to Head
Jun 1, 2016 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Poland
1-2
Netherlands
Janssen (33'), Wijnaldum (76')
Wijnaldum (63')
rhs 2.0
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2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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