MX23RW : Wednesday, November 6 00:39:05| >> :600:2006419:2006419:
Gibraltar national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Victoria Stadium
Netherlands national football team

Gibraltar
0 - 6
Netherlands


De Haro (83')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Stengs (10', 50', 62'), Wieffer (23'), Koopmeiners (38'), Gakpo (81')
Teze (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Gibraltar and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Tuesday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group B clash with Gibraltar.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: France 14-0 Gibraltar
Saturday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Netherlands 1-0 Rep. Ireland
Saturday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Gibraltar 0-5 Netherlands

While there should be no repeat of their 14-0 dismantling at the hands of France, it will be another backs-against-the-wall job for Gibraltar on Tuesday night, as the Netherlands do their utmost to earn a place in Pot 2. Several fringe players ought to be handed golden opportunities to impress Koeman, whose men should encounter no obstacles whatsoever en route to a straightforward success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 92.22%. A draw had a probability of 6.2% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 1.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-3 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.74%) and 0-4 (13.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.76%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (0.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
GibraltarDrawNetherlands
1.53% (0.043 0.04) 6.24% (0.308 0.31) 92.22% (-0.355 -0.36)
Both teams to score 25.57% (-0.831 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.9% (-1.606 -1.61)30.09% (1.602 1.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.69% (-1.957 -1.96)51.3% (1.952 1.95)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
26.54% (-0.781 -0.78)73.45% (0.77699999999999 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
3.88% (-0.244 -0.24)96.11% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.31% (-0.29400000000001 -0.29)3.68% (0.2901 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.16% (-0.974 -0.97)15.84% (0.971 0.97)
Score Analysis
    Gibraltar 1.53%
    Netherlands 92.21%
    Draw 6.25%
GibraltarDrawNetherlands
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 1.53%
1-1 @ 2.76% (0.093 0.09)
0-0 @ 2.7% (0.24 0.24)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 6.25%
0-3 @ 16.22% (0.31 0.31)
0-2 @ 14.74% (0.63 0.63)
0-4 @ 13.39% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-1 @ 8.93% (0.589 0.59)
0-5 @ 8.84% (-0.271 -0.27)
1-3 @ 5.01% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-6 @ 4.87% (-0.273 -0.27)
1-2 @ 4.55% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 4.13% (-0.166 -0.17)
1-5 @ 2.73% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-7 @ 2.3% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-6 @ 1.5% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-8 @ 0.95% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 92.21%

How you voted: Gibraltar vs Netherlands

Gibraltar
9.1%
Draw
4.5%
Netherlands
86.4%
66
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
3-0
Gibraltar
Depay (23'), Ake (50', 82')
Oct 11, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
6-0
Gibraltar
Van Dijk (9'), Depay (21', 45+3' pen.), Dumfries (48'), Danjuma (75'), Malen (86')

Torilla (18')
Mar 30, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Gibraltar
0-7
Netherlands

Ronan (31'), De Barr (90+3')
Berghuis (42'), De Jong (55'), Depay (61', 88'), Wijnaldum (62'), Malen (64'), Van de Beek (85')
Klaassen (38'), Gravenberch (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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