Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
OPAP Arena
Greece0 - 1Netherlands
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Greece and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Monday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group B clash with Greece.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-2 Greece
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 6 | 12 | 18 |
| 2 | Greece | 6 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 5 | -17 | 0 |
Last Game: Netherlands 1-2 France
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 6 | 12 | 18 |
| 2 | Greece | 6 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 5 | -17 | 0 |
We said: Greece 1-2 Netherlands
The Netherlands may have put three past Greece without reply a few weeks ago, but Poyet's troupe ought to be a different proposition in front of their own fans, especially with so much at stake in Group B. However, a handful of Koeman's players still did themselves justice in the loss to France, and with a few alterations here and there, we expect Oranje to bring Greece crashing back down to earth and keep their hopes of a top-two ranking alive. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Netherlands had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Netherlands win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greece | Draw | Netherlands |
53.35% ( -0.05) | 25.67% ( 0.05) | 20.98% |
| Both teams to score 45.38% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.12% ( -0.17) | 56.88% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.2% ( -0.14) | 77.8% ( 0.14) |
| Greece Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.62% ( -0.09) | 21.38% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.63% ( -0.14) | 54.36% ( 0.14) |
| Netherlands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.72% ( -0.1) | 42.28% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.33% ( -0.08) | 78.67% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Greece 53.34%
Netherlands 20.98%
Draw 25.67%
| Greece | Draw | Netherlands |
| 1-0 @ 13.94% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 53.34% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.09% Total : 20.98% |
How you voted: Greece vs Netherlands
Greece
27.4%Draw
13.7%Netherlands
58.8%226
Head to Head
May 28, 2020 6.30pm
International Friendlies
Netherlands
P-P
Greece
Sep 1, 2016 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Netherlands
1-2
Greece
Form Guide
