Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Netherlands1 - 2France
The Match
Match Report
Kylian Mbappe scores twice to help France qualify for Euro 2024 with a 2-1 victory against the Netherlands at the Johan Cruijff ArenA on Friday night.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Netherlands and France, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Friday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group B clash with France.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 1-2 Netherlands
Sunday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Sunday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | France | 5 | 11 | 15 |
2 | Greece | 5 | 5 | 9 |
3 | Netherlands | 4 | 3 | 9 |
4 | Republic of Ireland | 5 | -2 | 3 |
5 | Gibraltar | 5 | -17 | 0 |
Last Game: Germany 2-1 France
Tuesday, September 12 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, September 12 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | France | 5 | 11 | 15 |
2 | Greece | 5 | 5 | 9 |
3 | Netherlands | 4 | 3 | 9 |
4 | Republic of Ireland | 5 | -2 | 3 |
5 | Gibraltar | 5 | -17 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.
Result | ||
Netherlands | Draw | France |
36.98% ( -1.9) | 25.18% ( 0.2) | 37.84% ( 1.7) |
Both teams to score 57.1% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |