Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre

France
2 - 0
Rep. Ireland

Tchouameni (19'), Thuram (48')
Hernandez (21'), Griezmann (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cullen (47')

France set new national winning record with victory over Republic of Ireland

France set a new national team winning record with their 2-0 Euro 2024 qualifying Group B triumph over the Republic of Ireland at the Parc des Princes on Thursday night.

Sep 8, 11:40

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between France and Republic of Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Thursday's Euro 2024 qualifier against Republic of Ireland.

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: France 1-0 Greece
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	4	9	12
2	Greece	3	3	6
3	Republic of Ireland	3	1	3
4	Netherlands	2	-1	3
5	Gibraltar	4	-12	0

Republic of Ireland

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Rep. Ireland 3-0 Gibraltar
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	4	9	12
2	Greece	3	3	6
3	Republic of Ireland	3	1	3
4	Netherlands	2	-1	3
5	Gibraltar	4	-12	0

We said: France 3-0 Republic of Ireland

Republic of Ireland frustrated France in spells during their last meeting six months ago and they will require another dogged display if they wish to claim a famous result in Paris. However, Les Bleus are unsurprisingly regarded as favourites for this contest and the abundance of attacking quality at Deschamps's disposal should help fire his side to another victory in qualifying. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 18.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result
France	Draw	Republic of Ireland
57.31% ( -0.07)	24.66% ( 0.02)	18.03% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 43.77% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.35% (

-0.01)

56.66% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.38% (

-0.01)

77.62% (

0.01)

France Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.3% (

-0.03)

19.7% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.3% (

-0.05)

51.71% (

0.05)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.5% (

0.05)

45.5% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.68% (

0.05)

81.33% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

France 57.3%

Republic of Ireland 18.03%

Draw 24.66%

France	Draw	Republic of Ireland
1-0 @ 14.56% 2-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 57.3%	1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.57% Total : 24.66%	0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.53% Total : 18.03%