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France national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de France
Greece national football team

France
1 - 0
Greece

Mbappe (55' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

Siopis (49'), Mavropanos (50'), Hatzidiakos (69'), Kourbelis (69')
Mavropanos (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between France and Greece, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Monday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group B clash with Greece.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-3 France
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Greece 2-1 Rep. Ireland
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: France 2-0 Greece

Despite putting three unanswered goals past Gibraltar, France were criticised for a perceived sense of profligacy in the final third, although such wastefulness can be forgiven after a energy-zapping domestic season. Greece will certainly be no pushovers on the Stade de France turf, but Poyet's side are yet to face the test of this magnitude and should travel back to base with nothing to show for their efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Greece had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Greece win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result
FranceDrawGreece
43.93% (-8.035 -8.04) 21.71% (-4.916 -4.92) 34.36% (12.948 12.95)
Both teams to score 69.78% (26.339 26.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.16% (29.875 29.88)29.83% (-29.879 -29.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.01% (29.025 29.03)50.99% (-29.028 -29.03)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (8.666 8.67)14.5% (-8.67 -8.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.5% (14.546 14.55)42.49% (-14.551 -14.55)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (25.071 25.07)18.38% (-25.075 -25.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (30.154 30.15)49.52% (-30.158 -30.16)
Score Analysis
    France 43.93%
    Greece 34.36%
    Draw 21.71%
FranceDrawGreece
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.556 -0.56)
3-1 @ 5.42% (1.044 1.04)
1-0 @ 5.15% (-9.574 -9.57)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-5.791 -5.79)
3-2 @ 4.59% (2.766 2.77)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-2.05 -2.05)
4-1 @ 2.62% (1.017 1.02)
4-2 @ 2.22% (1.55 1.55)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.375 -0.38)
4-3 @ 1.25% (1.066 1.07)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.542 0.54)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 43.93%
1-1 @ 8.72% (-3.553 -3.55)
2-2 @ 7.13% (3.39 3.39)
0-0 @ 2.66% (-7.396 -7.4)
3-3 @ 2.59% (2.085 2.09)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.71%
1-2 @ 7.38% (2.27 2.27)
0-1 @ 4.51% (-3.877 -3.88)
1-3 @ 4.17% (2.748 2.75)
2-3 @ 4.03% (2.986 2.99)
0-2 @ 3.82% (0.327 0.33)
0-3 @ 2.16% (1.187 1.19)
1-4 @ 1.77% (1.469 1.47)
2-4 @ 1.71% (1.489 1.49)
3-4 @ 1.1% (0.991 0.99)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.712 0.71)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.36%

How you voted: France vs Greece

France
75.9%
Draw
11.2%
Greece
12.9%
116
rhs 2.0
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