Nations League | Semi-Finals
Jun 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Feijenoord
Netherlands2 - 4Croatia
The Match
Match Report
Croatia score two goals in extra time to sink the Netherlands 4-2 in an enthralling UEFA Nations League semi-final to advance to Sunday's final.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Nations League clash between Netherlands and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Wednesday's UEFA Nations League semi-final with Croatia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Netherlands 3-0 Gibraltar
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Greece | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 2 | -6 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Croatia had a probability of 23.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Croatia win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Netherlands | Draw | Croatia |
50.42% ( -0.78) | 25.95% ( 0.2) | 23.63% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 47.67% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.52% ( -0.23) | 55.49% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.33% ( -0.19) | 76.67% ( 0.19) |
| Netherlands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.94% ( -0.43) | 22.06% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.6% ( -0.66) | 55.4% ( 0.66) |
| Croatia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.16% ( 0.43) | 38.84% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.43% ( 0.4) | 75.57% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
Netherlands 50.42%
Croatia 23.63%
Draw 25.95%
| Netherlands | Draw | Croatia |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.17)2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.06)Other @ 3% Total : 50.42% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.49% Total : 23.63% |
How you voted: Netherlands vs Croatia
Netherlands
74.1%Croatia
25.9%216
Form Guide
Build-up
How the Netherlands could line up against Croatia
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Wednesday's UEFA Nations League semi-final with Croatia.
2 years ago
How Croatia could line up against the Netherlands
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Croatia could line up for Wednesday's UEFA Nations League semi-final with the Netherlands.
2 years ago
