UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Jun 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Denmark
0 - 1
Croatia

Cornelius (8'), Andersen (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pasalic (69')
Stanisic (75'), Budimir (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Denmark and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Denmark

Last Six:

Last Game: Austria 1-2 Denmark
Monday, June 6 at 9.15pm in Nations League

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Denmark	2	2	6
2	Austria	2	2	3
3	France	2	-1	1
4	Croatia	2	-3	1

Croatia

Last Six:

Last Game: Croatia 1-1 France
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Denmark	2	2	6
2	Austria	2	2	3
3	France	2	-1	1
4	Croatia	2	-3	1

Although Denmark will be regarded as the slight favourites on Friday, a closely-fought contest is set to be played out, with Croatia still searching for their first win and hoping to build on their dogged performance against France which saw them rescue a point. However, the Danes are in fine form at present and we can see them coming away with maximum points to maintain their 100% start in League A. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 51.15%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Croatia win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Denmark	Draw	Croatia
51.15% ( 0.13)	22.54% ( 0.02)	26.31% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 61.34% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.26% (

-0.22)

38.73% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.96% (

-0.23)

61.04% (

0.22)

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.67% (

-0.03)

15.33% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.92% (

-0.06)

44.08% (

0.05)

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.45% (

-0.23)

27.55% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.94% (

-0.29)

63.06% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Denmark 51.15%

Croatia 26.31%

Draw 22.54%

Denmark	Draw	Croatia
2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 3.9% Total : 51.15%	1-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.54%	1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.31%