Denmark

3 - 0

Serbia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Serbia win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.