UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Jun 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Serbia
0 - 1
Norway

Mitrovic (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Braut Haaland (26')
Aursnes (3'), Meling (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Serbia and Norway, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Serbia

Last Six:

Last Game: Sweden 0-1 Serbia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Slovenia vs. Serbia
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Serbia	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Norway

Last Six:

Last Game: Norway 0-0 Slovenia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Norway vs. Sweden
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Serbia	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Serbia have not lost at home since the end of 2020, and given the competition for places ahead of an exciting winter in the Middle East, they should perform near their best on Thursday. While Norway's current crop is surely their most able in decades, few teams dictate terms to the hosts in Belgrade, so the visitors' Nations League campaign could be set for an opening-day loss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 49.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Norway had a probability of 22.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Norway win it was 0-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Serbia	Draw	Norway
49.49% ( 0.02)	28.07% ( 0.03)	22.45% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 41.03% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.55% (

-0.13)

63.45% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.21% (

-0.09)

82.79% (

0.09)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.03% (

-0.05)

25.97% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.01% (

-0.07)

60.99% (

0.07)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.43% (

-0.12)

44.57% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.41% (

-0.1)

80.59% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Serbia 49.48%

Norway 22.45%

Draw 28.06%

Serbia	Draw	Norway
1-0 @ 15.6% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.73% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 49.48%	1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 11.57% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.06%	0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 22.45%