MX23RW : Thursday, June 13 23:35:28| >> :600:7022190:7022190:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Poland national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
National Stadium
Netherlands national football team

Poland
0 - 2
Netherlands


Szczesny (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gakpo (13'), Bergwijn (60')
Ake (32'), Gakpo (61'), Janssen (82'), Weghorst (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Poland and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Netherlands could line up for Thursday's Nations League clash with Poland.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Poland 0-1 Belgium
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Netherlands

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Netherlands 3-2 Wales
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Poland 1-2 Netherlands

 Both sides caused problems for one another the last time that they locked horns three months ago, and another closely-fought contest is to be expected on Thursday. Poland will fancy their chances with Lewandowski leading the line, but we can see Netherlands securing a slender victory, which could be enough to seal their place in the Nations League semi-finals if Belgium fail to beat Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Poland had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Poland win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
PolandDrawNetherlands
26.76% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 23.55% (-0.168 -0.17) 49.7% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 58.22% (0.645 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.96% (0.824 0.82)43.04% (-0.821 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.56% (0.811 0.81)65.44% (-0.809 -0.81)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.52% (0.48399999999999 0.48)29.48% (-0.481 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.52% (0.586 0.59)65.48% (-0.58500000000001 -0.59)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.56% (0.351 0.35)17.44% (-0.349 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.1% (0.60899999999999 0.61)47.9% (-0.605 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Poland 26.76%
    Netherlands 49.7%
    Draw 23.54%
PolandDrawNetherlands
2-1 @ 6.7% (0.014 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.28% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-0 @ 3.84% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 26.76%
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.078 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.188 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.54%
1-2 @ 9.58% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 8.98% (-0.224 -0.22)
0-2 @ 7.84% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 5.57% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.41% (0.084 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.43% (0.055 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.99% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 49.7%

How you voted: Poland vs Netherlands

Poland
24.9%
Draw
12.9%
Netherlands
62.1%
317
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2022 7.45pm
League A4
Netherlands
2-2
Poland
Klaassen (51'), Dumfries (54')
Berghuis (59'), Bergwijn (63'), de Jong (86')
Cash (18'), Zielinski (49')
Krychowiak (16'), Bednarek (20'), Skorupski (63'), Zielinski (83'), Zurkowski (86')
Nov 18, 2020 7.45pm
League A1
Poland
1-2
Netherlands
Jozwiak (6')
Krychowiak (14'), Bednarek (77'), Jozwiak (82')
Depay (77' pen.), Wijnaldum (84')
Sep 4, 2020 7.45pm
League A1
Netherlands
1-0
Poland
Bergwijn (61')
de Roon (71'), Depay (74'), de Jong (89')

Piatek (21'), Klich (33'), Jozwiak (56'), Glik (63'), Bednarek (90+1')
Jun 1, 2016 7.45pm
Poland
1-2
Netherlands
Jedrzejczyk (60')
Lewandowksi (63')
Janssen (33'), Wijnaldum (76')
Wijnaldum (63')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Scotland
> Preview
Saturday, June 15
 
2pm
Group Stage
Hungary
vs.
Switzerland
> Preview
 
5pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Croatia
> Preview
 
8pm
Group Stage
Italy
vs.
Albania
> Preview
Sunday, June 16
 
2pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Netherlands
 
5pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Denmark
 
8pm
Group Stage
Serbia
vs.
England
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
Group Stage
Romania
vs.
Ukraine
 
5pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Slovakia
 
8pm
Group Stage
Austria
vs.
France
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Georgia
 
8pm
Group Stage
Portugal
vs.
Czech Republic
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Albania
 
5pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Hungary
 
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Switzerland
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
 
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
 
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
 
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
 
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
 
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
 
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
 
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
 
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
 
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
 
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
 
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
 
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
 
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
 
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
 
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
 
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
 
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
 
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000
> European Championship 2024 overview


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