Nations League | League A
Sep 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
National Stadium
Poland0 - 2Netherlands
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Poland and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Netherlands could line up for Thursday's Nations League clash with Poland.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Poland 0-1 Belgium
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Belgium | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 4 | Wales | 4 | -3 | 1 |
Last Game: Netherlands 3-2 Wales
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Belgium | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 4 | Wales | 4 | -3 | 1 |
We said: Poland 1-2 Netherlands
Both sides caused problems for one another the last time that they locked horns three months ago, and another closely-fought contest is to be expected on Thursday. Poland will fancy their chances with Lewandowski leading the line, but we can see Netherlands securing a slender victory, which could be enough to seal their place in the Nations League semi-finals if Belgium fail to beat Wales. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Poland had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Poland win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Poland | Draw | Netherlands |
26.76% ( 0.07) | 23.55% ( -0.17) | 49.7% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 58.22% ( 0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.96% ( 0.82) | 43.04% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.56% ( 0.81) | 65.44% ( -0.81) |
| Poland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% ( 0.48) | 29.48% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.52% ( 0.59) | 65.48% ( -0.59) |
| Netherlands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.56% ( 0.35) | 17.44% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.1% ( 0.61) | 47.9% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
Poland 26.76%
Netherlands 49.7%
Draw 23.54%
| Poland | Draw | Netherlands |
| 2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 26.76% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 5.57% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 2.43% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.85% Total : 49.7% |
How you voted: Poland vs Netherlands
Poland
24.9%Draw
12.9%Netherlands
62.1%317
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2020 7.45pm
League A1
Poland
1-2
Netherlands
Jun 1, 2016 7.45pm
Form Guide
