We said: Turkey 2-2 Croatia
As both teams pose a goal threat and, in the circumstances, are equally motivated to go for the win, an open encounter could ensue.
Croatia rarely taste defeat in any competition, given their nous and hard-won know-how, so even if they fall behind in Bursa, they can find a way back into the contest and tame a talented Turkey side.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Croatia win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.