Friendlies 1
Oct 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Wales4 - 0Gibraltar
Form, Standings, Stats
International Friendlies
Last Game: Latvia 0-2 Wales
Monday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
International Friendlies
Last Game: Greece 5-0 Gibraltar
Sunday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Sunday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 5 | 11 | 15 |
| 2 | Greece | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 5 | -17 | 0 |
We said: Wales 2-0 Gibraltar
With Page looking to find a balance with the players that he uses on Wednesday night, this game could be closer than many are anticipating. Nevertheless, we still expect Wales to post a much-needed win ahead of their showdown with Croatia. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 93.32%. A draw had a probability of 5.7% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 0.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 3-0 with a probability of 18.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.92%) and 4-0 (14.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (3.25%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (0.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wales | Draw | Gibraltar |
93.32% ( -1.09) | 5.71% ( 0.97) | 0.97% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 17.39% ( -1.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
