Both nations have experienced challenging Euro 2024 qualifiers so far this year, but they will enter Wednesday's friendly clash fancying their chances of securing a rare win on the international stage. However, with little to separate these two teams, we believe that the spoils will be shared in a low-scoring draw in Ta' Qali. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 76.78%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 8.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-2 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malta would win this match.

Result
Malta	Draw	Gibraltar
76.78% ( -0.99)	14.38% ( 0.39)	8.84% ( 0.6)

Both teams to score 51.31% (

1.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.2% (

0.26)

32.8% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.51% (

0.3)

54.49% (

-0.3)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93% (

-0.14)

7% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.38% (

-0.37)

25.61% (

0.37)

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.17% (

1.53)

44.82% (

-1.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.21% (

1.21)

80.79% (

-1.2)

Score Analysis

Malta 76.78%

Gibraltar 8.84%

Draw 14.38%

Malta	Draw	Gibraltar
2-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.29) 4-1 @ 5.25% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.15) 5-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.09) 6-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.09) 6-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.5% Total : 76.78%	1-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.97% Total : 14.38%	1-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.67% Total : 8.84%