The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Malta and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Sunday's European Championship qualifying clash with Malta.
Form, Standings, Stats
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: N. Macedonia 2-1 Malta
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Malta 0-2 Italy
Italy were unimpressive as an attacking force in their Euro qualifying opener, but a number of fringe players - such as Gnonto, Grifo and Politano - could now come to the fore against less demanding opponents. Malta may have shown signs of improvement, but denying the Azzurri victory this weekend is a feat beyond their wildest dreams. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 78.99%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Malta had a probability of 6.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.84%) and 0-1 (11.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.74%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Italy in this match.
Result | ||
Malta | Draw | Italy |
6.76% ( 0.27) | 14.25% ( 0.53) | 78.99% ( -0.8) |
Both teams to score 40.78% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.42% ( -1.45) | 40.58% ( 1.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.04% ( -1.5) | 62.96% ( 1.5) |
Malta Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.46% ( -0.21) | 55.53% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.8% ( -0.12) | 88.2% ( 0.12) |
Italy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.71% ( -0.51) | 8.29% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.07% ( -1.28) | 28.93% ( 1.29) |
Score Analysis |
Malta 6.76%
Italy 78.98%
Draw 14.25%
Malta | Draw | Italy |
1-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.07% Total : 6.76% | 1-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.44% Total : 14.25% | 0-2 @ 14.27% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 11.84% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 7.38% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 6.97% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 4.34% ( -0.18) 0-5 @ 3.67% ( -0.22) 1-5 @ 2.16% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.04) 0-6 @ 1.53% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.64% Total : 78.98% |
How you voted: Malta vs Italy
Malta
12.4%Draw
7.2%Italy
80.4%97
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2015 7.45pm
Group H
Italy
1-0
Malta
Oct 13, 2014 7.45pm
Group H
Malta
0-1
Italy
Mar 26, 2013 7.45pm
Sep 11, 2012 7.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-21 05:42:43
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
2 | Switzerland | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Scotland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4 | Hungary | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Netherlands | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | France | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | Poland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | Austria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
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