Nations League | League A
Sep 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Hungary0 - 2Italy
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Hungary and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Monday's decisive Nations League clash with Hungary.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Germany 0-1 Hungary
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hungary | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 5 | -1 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | England | 5 | -6 | 2 |
We said: Hungary 1-1 Italy
Persistent overachievers, Hungary are buoyed by their first competitive win over Germany since the 1954 World Cup, and fear no national side after their recent exploits. Injury-hit Italy remain a squad needing a post-Euros overhaul, and will fall short of the win required to reach the Nations League finals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Hungary win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hungary | Draw | Italy |
26.21% ( 0.06) | 25.46% ( 0.02) | 48.33% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.52% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.35% ( -0.03) | 51.65% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.56% ( -0.03) | 73.43% ( 0.03) |
| Hungary Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.53% ( 0.03) | 34.47% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.82% ( 0.03) | 71.18% ( -0.03) |
| Italy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.61% ( -0.04) | 21.38% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.63% ( -0.07) | 54.37% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Hungary 26.21%
Italy 48.32%
Draw 25.46%
| Hungary | Draw | Italy |
| 1-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.29% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 26.21% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 11.36% 1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 48.32% |
How you voted: Hungary vs Italy
Hungary
40.7%Draw
19.9%Italy
39.5%423
Form Guide
