UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Jun 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Wembley Stadium

England
0 - 4
Hungary

Stones (37'), Walker (86')
Stones (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sallai (16', 70'), Nagy (80'), Gazdag (89')
Rossi (67')

England suffer biggest home defeat in 94 years against Hungary

England suffer their worst home defeat for 94 years and set an unwanted record as Hungary run out 4-0 winners in Tuesday's UEFA Nations League clash at Molineux.

Jun 14, 23:18

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

England

Last Six:

Last Game: England 0-0 Italy
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Italy	3	1	5
2	Hungary	3	0	4
3	Germany	3	0	3
4	England	3	-1	2

Hungary

Last Six:

Last Game: Hungary 1-1 Germany
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Italy	3	1	5
2	Hungary	3	0	4
3	Germany	3	0	3
4	England	3	-1	2

The fact that England's only goal in the Nations League so far has come from the penalty spot simply demonstrates how much Southgate's players could do with a well-earned break, but Three Lions fans are growing increasingly concerned about their side's Qatar hopes with each passing game. The potential introductions of Jude Bellingham and Conor Gallagher to the midfield could yet prove pivotal in England breaking the Hungary lines, and while a high-scoring encounter is surely off the menu, Southgate's side can finally post a long-awaited win before the summer holidays commence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 57.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Hungary win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
England	Draw	Hungary
57.81% ( 0.03)	22.39% ( 0.01)	19.8% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 53.33% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.58% (

-0.08)

45.41% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.25% (

-0.07)

67.75% (

0.07)

England Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.57% (

-0.02)

15.43% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.73% (

-0.03)

44.27% (

0.03)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.06% (

-0.08)

36.94% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.27% (

-0.08)

73.72% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

England 57.81%

Hungary 19.8%

Draw 22.38%

England	Draw	Hungary
1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 57.81%	1-1 @ 10.6% 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.38%	0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 19.8%