The Match
Team News
Chelsea's Kai Havertz and Manchester City's Ilkay Gundogan are named in Germany's starting lineup for their UEFA Nations League clash against England on Tuesday.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Germany and England, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how England could line up for Tuesday's UEFA Nations League clash with Germany.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Germany 1-1 England
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Hungary vs. Germany
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Hungary | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Germany | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | England | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Last Game: Germany 1-1 England
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: England vs. Italy
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Hungary | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Germany | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | England | 2 | -1 | 1 |
We said: Germany 2-1 England
Southgate's choice to go with an experimental XI did not pay dividends in Budapest, but there are several big-hitters ready and waiting to ensure England can return to scoring ways against a Germany defence that is far from impenetrable. An increase in ruthlessness could have seen Germany enter this contest with three points instead of one, but rival turf has not been kind to England in the Nations League, and we do not expect Southgate to inspire a turnaround in fortunes after only 72 hours. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for England had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest England win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Germany | Draw | England |
48.22% ( 0.03) | 24.69% ( 0.01) | 27.09% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.68% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.15% ( -0.06) | 47.85% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.97% ( -0.05) | 70.03% ( 0.05) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.11% ( -0.01) | 19.89% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.99% ( -0.02) | 52.01% ( 0.02) |
| England Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.26% ( -0.06) | 31.74% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.83% ( -0.06) | 68.16% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Germany 48.22%
England 27.09%
Draw 24.69%
| Germany | Draw | England |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.09% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 48.22% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.09% |
How you voted: Germany vs England
Germany
56.4%Draw
18.1%England
25.6%559
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2017 8pm
Mar 22, 2017 7.45pm
Mar 26, 2016 7.45pm
Nov 19, 2013 8pm
Form Guide
Build-up
Seven England fans arrested in Munich ahead of Germany clash
Seven England fans are arrested in Munich, including three for making a Nazi salute, ahead of Wednesday's UEFA Nations League clash with Germany.
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Sports Mole takes a look at five of the most memorable matches between England and Germany ahead of Tuesday's UEFA Nations League clash.
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How England could line up against Germany
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how England could line up for Tuesday's UEFA Nations League clash with Germany.
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How Germany could line up against England
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Tuesday's UEFA Nations League clash with England.
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