We said: Ukraine 3-0 Malta
Ukraine may need a lesson or two in keeping the back door shut, but Malta's goal-shy charges are unlikely to trouble Rebrov's backline in what should be a foregone conclusion from the first whistle.
With a taste for goals and plenty of attackers in fine form for the national team, we can envisage Ukraine coming up with another trio of goals to maintain their push for a place in Germany.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Malta had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Malta win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.