UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Ukraine
0 - 0
Scotland

Mudryk (17'), Yarmolenko (23'), Ihnatenko (27')

Hickey (62'), Dykes (84')

Scotland promoted into top tier of Nations League

Scotland hold Ukraine to a goalless draw to earn promotion to the top tier of the UEFA Nations League and give their hopes of Euro 2024 qualification a major boost.

Sep 27, 21:37

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Ukraine and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ukraine

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Armenia 0-5 Ukraine
Saturday, September 24 at 2pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Ukraine	0	0	0
4	Armenia	0	0	0

Scotland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Scotland 2-1 Rep. Ireland
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Ukraine	0	0	0
4	Armenia	0	0	0

Both teams will be confident of claiming their desired result on Tuesday evening, belief which should set up a thrilling encounter. Ukraine's players will feel more rested given that they coasted past Armenia, but we feel that Scotland will show the heart and desire to scrap their way to an all-important point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 45.43%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 26.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.23%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Ukraine win it was 1-0 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Ukraine	Draw	Scotland
26.24% ( 0.24)	28.33% ( -0.12)	45.43% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 43.57% (

0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.08% (

0.51)

61.92% (

-0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.32% (

0.38)

81.68% (

-0.37)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.91% (

0.5)

40.08% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.27% (

0.45)

76.73% (

-0.45)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.72% (

0.18)

27.28% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.28% (

0.24)

62.72% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Ukraine 26.24%

Scotland 45.43%

Draw 28.31%

Ukraine	Draw	Scotland
1-0 @ 10% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.36% Total : 26.24%	1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.31%	0-1 @ 14.2% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.77% Total : 45.43%