Friendlies 1
Jun 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
Weserstadion
Germany3 - 3Ukraine
The Match
Match Report
Germany score two late goals to rescue a thrilling 3-3 friendly draw with Ukraine in their 1,000th international match.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Germany and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Germany 2-3 Belgium
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Last Game: England 2-0 Ukraine
Sunday, March 26 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Sunday, March 26 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Italy | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Ukraine | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 5 | Malta | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 60.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Ukraine win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Germany | Draw | Ukraine |
60.81% ( -0.16) | 20.66% ( 0.08) | 18.53% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.95% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.46% ( -0.29) | 39.54% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.11% ( -0.3) | 61.89% ( 0.3) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.41% ( -0.14) | 12.59% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.32% ( -0.29) | 38.68% ( 0.29) |
| Ukraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.15% ( -0.09) | 34.85% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.41% ( -0.1) | 71.59% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
Germany 60.81%
Ukraine 18.53%
Draw 20.66%
| Germany | Draw | Ukraine |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.71% Total : 60.81% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.66% | 1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 18.53% |
How you voted: Germany vs Ukraine
Germany
84.0%Draw
7.4%Ukraine
8.5%94
Head to Head
Nov 14, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Germany
3-1
Ukraine
Oct 10, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Ukraine
1-2
Germany
Jun 12, 2016 8pm
