Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7

Sep 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Louis II

Monaco
2 - 1
Lyon

Badiashile (55'), Maripan (63')
Golovin (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Toko Ekambi (81')
Lukeba (65'), Lacazette (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

Last Six:

Last Game: Red Star 0-1 Monaco
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Rennes	6	1	8
10	Monaco	6	-3	8
11	Troyes	7	-4	7

Lyon

Last Six:

Last Game: Lorient 3-1 Lyon
Wednesday, September 7 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Lens	7	9	17
4	Lyon	6	8	13
5	Lorient	6	2	13

A showdown between a Monaco side under-performing on their own soil and a Lyon outfit struggling to replicate their home form on the road is a highly intriguing affair, especially with both sides more than capable of threatening on the attacking front no matter how leaky their backline is. Lyon may be boosted by some returns from injury, as well as enjoying an extra day's worth of rest, but Monaco are finally tightening up at the back and can feel confident of picking up a third win on the bounce. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Monaco in this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Lyon
36.58% ( 0.08)	23.87% ( 0.02)	39.55% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 61.92% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.74% (

-0.1)

40.26% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.37% (

-0.1)

62.63% (

0.1)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.96% (

-0)

22.04% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.63% (

-0)

55.36% (

-0)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.42% (

-0.09)

20.58% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.89% (

-0.14)

53.11% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Monaco 36.58%

Lyon 39.55%

Draw 23.86%

Monaco	Draw	Lyon
2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.58%	1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.86%	1-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 39.55%