MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 16:45:16| >> :600:397387:397387:
Red Star Belgrade
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadion Rajko Mitić
Monaco

Red Star
0 - 1
Monaco


Dragovic (7'), Pesic (45'), Milunovic (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Embolo (74' pen.)
Badiashile (18'), Minamino (43'), Golovin (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Red Star Belgrade and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Red Star 2-2 Maccabi Haifa
Tuesday, August 23 at 8pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Nice 0-1 Monaco
Sunday, September 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Red Star Belgrade 1-1 Monaco

These sides will likely show each other plenty of respect having both topped their groups in this competition last season. As such, we would not be surprised if both settle for a share of the spoils should the game state be heading in that direction. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Monaco in this match.

Result
Red Star BelgradeDrawMonaco
30.71% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 25.24% (0.035 0.04) 44.05% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.27% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.84% (-0.14899999999999 -0.15)48.16% (0.146 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68% (-0.136 -0.14)70.32% (0.134 0.13)
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)29.28% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)65.24% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.15% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)21.85% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.92% (-0.127 -0.13)55.08% (0.125 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Red Star Belgrade 30.71%
    Monaco 44.05%
    Draw 25.23%
Red Star BelgradeDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.033 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.83% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 30.71%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.038 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 9.73% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.4% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.61% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.75% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44.05%

How you voted: Red Star vs Monaco

Red Star Belgrade
33.1%
Draw
23.1%
Monaco
43.8%
121
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