Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 27, 2022 at 8pm UK

Red Star Stadium

Red Star
2 - 1
Trabzonspor

Katai (37'), Pesic (64')
Dragovic (25'), Pesic (44')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bakasetas (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Red Star Belgrade and Trabzonspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Star Belgrade

Last Game: Ferencvaros 2-1 Red Star
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa League

Trabzonspor

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-0 Sivasspor
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Red Star Belgrade 1-1 Trabzonspor

Even with Red Star Belgrade being far from their best in this year's group stage, the Turkish champions face a tough trip on Thursday for a game that is bound to be hotly contested given that the fight for second place is somewhat riding on this match. The hosts may not be strong enough to see off their visitors, though, and we see the clash ending in a draw, despite the fact that Milojevic's side will likely need all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.

Result
Red Star Belgrade	Draw	Trabzonspor
43.36% ( -0.19)	24.85% ( 0.04)	31.8% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 57.07% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.97% (

-0.11)

46.03% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.67% (

-0.11)

68.34% (

0.1)

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.73% (

-0.13)

21.27% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.81% (

-0.2)

54.2% (

0.2)

Trabzonspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.5% (

0.05)

27.51% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.99% (

0.06)

63.01% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Red Star Belgrade 43.36%

Trabzonspor 31.8%

Draw 24.84%

Red Star Belgrade	Draw	Trabzonspor
1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 43.36%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.84%	0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 31.8%