Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Red Star Stadium
Red Star4 - 1Ferencvaros
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-1 Red Star
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League
We said: Red Star Belgrade 1-1 Ferencvaros
Despite their respective positions in the group, this match should be far more competitive than many will anticipate. Although the visitors are the team in form, Red Star are far stronger at their home ground, and we anticipate a competitive share of the spoils being played out in Serbia. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Star Belgrade | Draw | Ferencvaros |
48.15% ( -0.26) | 24.89% ( 0.05) | 26.96% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 53.95% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
