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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 29, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
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B. Leverkusen
0 - 2
Dortmund


Tapsoba (28'), Wirtz (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adeyemi (33'), Tapsoba (53' og.)
Adeyemi (34'), Ozcan (60'), Modeste (84'), Ryerson (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 VfL Bochum
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-2 Dortmund
Wednesday, January 25 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 Borussia Dortmund

 This match is undoubtedly the headline fixture of the weekend as far as the Bundesliga is concerned, and it should be a highly entertaining encounter with both teams preferring to play on the front foot. Leverkusen will be determined to maintain their winning run as they look to close the gap on the Champions League qualification places, but we can envisage a share of the spoils on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 38.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.29%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
38.38% (1.227 1.23) 23.52% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 38.09% (-1.24 -1.24)
Both teams to score 63.32% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.52% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)38.48% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.22% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)60.77% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.64% (0.574 0.57)20.36% (-0.571 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.24% (0.903 0.9)52.76% (-0.901 -0.9)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5% (-0.598 -0.6)20.5% (0.601 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.01% (-0.95999999999999 -0.96)52.98% (0.963 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 38.38%
    Borussia Dortmund 38.09%
    Draw 23.52%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.155 0.15)
1-0 @ 6.64% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 5.29% (0.193 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.158 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.061 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.81% (0.15 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.093 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 38.38%
1-1 @ 10.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.64%
0-0 @ 4.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-1 @ 6.61% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.77% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 38.09%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Dortmund

Bayer Leverkusen
31.6%
Draw
33.8%
Borussia Dortmund
34.6%
133
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 5.30pm
Dortmund
1-0
B. Leverkusen
Reus (10')
Hazard (43'), Schlotterbeck (72')

Tah (27'), Palacios (37'), Hincapie (56'), Bakker (90+5')
Hradecky (90+2')
Feb 6, 2022 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-5
B. Leverkusen
Frimpong (16' og.), Tigges (89')
Dahoud (26')
Akanji (11' og.), Wirtz (20'), Andrich (28'), Tah (53'), Diaby (87')
Bellarabi (46')
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
3-4
Dortmund
Wirtz (9'), Schick (45+1'), Diaby (55')
Wirtz (60'), Frimpong (70'), Odilon (75'), Diaby (86')
Braut Haaland (37', 77'), Brandt (49'), Guerreiro (71')
Meunier (20'), Braut Haaland (60'), Wolf (90+2')
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
3-1
B. Leverkusen
Braut Haaland (5', 84'), Reus (51')
Bender (89' pen.)
Jan 19, 2021 7.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Dortmund
Diaby (14'), Wirtz (80')
Bailey (73'), Diaby (78')
Brandt (67')
Hummels (90+1'), Delaney (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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